You’ve just completed a BITSAT mock test. The screen flashes 280. Your rough work shows you attempted 130 questions, got 100 right and 20 wrong, and left 10 blank. On paper the math is straightforward: multiply the correct answers by 3 and subtract a point for every wrong answer.
100 × 3 − 20 × 1 = 280
It looks clean, but the number hides the real story. Each question you faced was a tiny decision: Do I go for it? Do I skip it? Can I trust my hunch? Your final score is simply the sum of those decisions. To improve, you need to unpack the choices that led to that score.
Before diving into strategy, let’s recap the official rules.
- BITSAT is a three‑hour computer‑based test with 130 multiple‑choice questions covering physics, chemistry, mathematics or biology, English and logical reasoning.
- Each correct answer awards three marks, an incorrect answer deducts one mark, and leaving a question unanswered gives zero.
- Candidates who finish all 130 questions within three hours can unlock twelve additional questions, but they cannot go back and change any earlier answers.
These simple rules create a complex game of risk and reward.
In this article I’ll break down that game in first person. I’ll show you how to see the −1 not as a punishment but as the cost of participating. I’ll walk you through the math behind educated guessing and help you decide whether those extra questions are worth your time. Finally, I’ll share a three‑tier approach that has helped me and other students turn the marking system into an ally rather than a threat. This isn’t about memorising formulas – it’s about learning to make smarter decisions under pressure.
Is the ‘−1’ Really a Penalty in BITSAT?

Why does losing a mark feel so painful?
When I first started preparing for BITSAT I treated every wrong answer as a disaster. One minus felt like a dagger because in our minds, losses hurt more than equivalent gains feel good. Behavioural scientists call this loss aversion. The Decision Lab explains that this bias means “the emotional impact of a loss is felt more intensely than the joy of an equivalent gain”. They note that the disappointment from losing ₹10 is roughly twice as powerful as the happiness from finding ₹10. Exams tap into this bias: when we see “−1,” we feel robbed, even though a correct answer gives us three times as many marks.
Reframing the cost of an attempt
Once I understood loss aversion, I started looking at the −1 differently. Instead of seeing it as a penalty, I began to view it as the price of attempting a question. Here’s why:
- Every question has three possible outcomes: +3 for a correct answer, −1 for an incorrect one and 0 if you skip it.
- When you skip, you’re not choosing zero; you’re giving up the opportunity to earn three marks. That opportunity has value.
- The real decision isn’t between +0 and −1, it’s between risking −1 to chase +3.
To make good decisions, you need to weigh the potential gain against the cost of trying. Thinking of the −1 as a fee makes the trade‑off explicit. You’re paying one mark for the chance to earn three. Sometimes it’s worth it, sometimes it’s not. The rest of this piece will help you tell the difference.
Can Maths Give You an Edge? Expected Value Explained
What is the expected value?
Expected value (EV) is a tool from probability theory that tells you the average outcome of an uncertain choice if you could repeat it many times. Statistician Jim Frost explains that to compute the EV for a discrete scenario, you multiply each possible outcome by its probability and then add up all those products. For a multiple‑choice test with positive points for correct answers and negative points for wrong answers, you can adapt the formula:
EV = P (correct) × score for correct + P (incorrect) × score for incorrect.
In a Wyzant tutoring example, the tutor demonstrates this calculation for a five‑option exam with a penalty of −1/4 per wrong answer. They set P(correct) to 1/5 and P(wrong) to 4/5, then compute the EV: .2×1+.8×(−0.25)=0.2×1 + .8×(−0.25) = 0.2×1+.8×(−0.25)=0, showing that a random guess yields zero on average.
Applying EV to BITSAT
BITSAT questions have four options, award +3 for a correct answer and impose −1 for a wrong answer. Let’s plug these values into the EV formula under different scenarios. Assume you have no partial knowledge and are guessing randomly on a question.
- Wild guess (no elimination):
- P(correct) = 1/4, P(wrong) = 3/4.
- EV = (1/4×3) + (3/4×−1) = 0.75 − 0.75 = 0.
A blind guess neither gains nor loses marks in the long run.
But BITSAT isn’t a slot machine; you often eliminate one or more options. Let’s see how elimination changes your EV:
Scenario | Probability of correct answer | Calculation | Expected value | What it means |
Wild guess (4 options) | 1/4 | (1/4×3) + (3/4×−1) | 0 | No statistical gain or loss. Guessing blindly is neutral. |
Educated guess (eliminate 1 option) | 1/3 | (1/3×3) + (2/3×−1) | +0.33 | Your average gain per question is roughly one‑third of a mark. Guessing is worth it. |
Confident guess (eliminate 2 options) | 1/2 | (1/2×3) + (1/2×−1) | +1 | On average you gain a full mark every time you take such a guess. |
The take-away is that you don’t need to be 100% sure for guessing to be beneficial. If you can rule out even one option, the maths says you should guess. Over dozens of questions, these small positive expectations add up to a big score jump.
Why aiming for perfection can backfire
Students often believe the goal is to answer every question correctly. That’s impossible. The real goal is to make decisions with a positive expected value. If a decision yields a net positive mark on average, it’s a good decision even if you sometimes get it wrong. Over an entire BITSAT paper, making lots of +0.33 and +1 decisions matters more than obsessing over occasional −1s. This mindset frees you from the fear of making mistakes and allows you to play the probabilities intelligently.
Should You Chase the 12 Bonus Questions in BITSAT?

What are the bonus questions and how do they work?
BITSAT has a unique feature: candidates who complete all 130 questions within the three‑hour limit unlock 12 extra questions. These extra questions are spread across the four core sections. But there’s a catch. According to exam pattern guides, once you move to the bonus questions you cannot return to or change any of your previous answers. You must accept whatever mistakes or guesses you made earlier and answer the bonus questions within the remaining time.
High reward: why the bonus is tempting
At first glance, the bonus looks like a jackpot. Twelve questions at three marks each mean up to 36 extra marks. If you’re aiming for a seat in an elite branch where cut‑offs hover around 340 or higher, those marks can make a difference. Finishing early and tackling the extra set can push your score into the top percentile if you maintain accuracy.
High risk: what you give up to get there
However, unlocking the bonus requires answering all 130 questions first. To achieve this within three hours, you need to average about 1.4 minutes per question. Here’s why that’s risky for most students:
- Rushed answers: Racing through 130 questions often leads to careless mistakes. A calculation error on a “sure shot” can cost four marks (losing three you could have earned and incurring a −1). The time pressure also reduces your ability to eliminate options, making your guesses less informed.
- More wild guesses: To reach question 130 quickly, you might guess blindly on questions you’d normally skip. As shown earlier, blind guesses have an EV of zero, meaning you’re expending time and mental energy for no long‑term gain.
- No opportunity to revise: Once you commit to the bonus round, you can’t go back and correct any misclicks or reconsider tough questions.

A quick decision table
Candidate trait | Bonus round advisable? | Rationale |
Finishes 130 questions with significant time remaining and maintains high accuracy | Yes | You can handle the extra questions without sacrificing earlier answers. |
Takes the full three hours to complete 130 questions or often runs out of time | No | You risk rushing through sure‑shot questions and making costly mistakes. |
Accuracy drops sharply when under time pressure | No | The extra questions won’t make up for errors in the main paper. |
Calm, strategic under timed conditions | Yes | You can capitalise on the extra marks. |
What’s the Best Way to Tackle the Paper? The Three‑Tier System
During my preparation I realised that not all questions are equal. Some I knew cold, some I was half‑sure about, and others were complete mysteries. To bring order to the chaos I developed a simple three‑tier attempt system. It helped me make rapid decisions and manage my time effectively.
How does the three‑tier system work?
Tier | Confidence level | Action during the exam | Reasoning |
Tier 1: “Sure Shots” | 90–100% confidence | Solve immediately, mark for review only if you spot a minor doubt. | These questions are your guaranteed marks. Don’t overthink; collect the +3. |
Tier 2: “Probables” | 50–80% confidence; you can eliminate at least one option | Make a calculated guess based on the positive EV (+0.33 or +1). Mark the question and move on. | Spending extra minutes to reach 100% certainty often isn’t worth it. A confident guess can yield a net gain. |
Tier 3: “Possibles” | Less than 50% confidence; you cannot eliminate options | Skip it on the first pass. Only revisit if you have extra time at the end. | With an EV of 0 for blind guesses, it’s better to conserve time for more promising questions. |
How to apply the system during the exam
I break the three hours into two passes:
- First pass (0–120 minutes):
- Focus on Tier 1 questions. These are your bread and butter. Knock them out quickly to bank your sure marks.
- When you encounter a Tier 2 question, don’t agonise. Use your partial knowledge to eliminate one or two options, make your best guess, mark it for review and move on.
- Skip Tier 3 questions. Don’t waste time chasing a blind guess.
- Focus on Tier 1 questions. These are your bread and butter. Knock them out quickly to bank your sure marks.
- Second pass (120–180 minutes):
- Revisit the marked Tier 2 questions. With the pressure of the easy questions gone, you might see them more clearly. Spend extra time if you believe you can eliminate another option and push your confidence into the 50–80% range.
- Only if you still have time should you consider Tier 3 questions. By now you’re aware of how many marks you’ve banked. If you need a few extra points and have time, you can attempt a couple of these, but remember: the expected value of a wild guess is zero. Don’t turn a sensible performance into a gamble.
- Revisit the marked Tier 2 questions. With the pressure of the easy questions gone, you might see them more clearly. Spend extra time if you believe you can eliminate another option and push your confidence into the 50–80% range.
A practical example
Suppose you start the paper and within 90 minutes you’ve answered 60 questions confidently and guessed on 10 where you eliminated one option. You’ve skipped 15 questions that looked unfamiliar. That leaves 45 questions.

On your second pass you might answer 20 more using elimination, raising your attempts to 90. You then decide whether the remaining 40 are worth your time. Using this method ensures that every minute is spent either banking sure marks or making positive‑EV guesses.
Conclusion: Are You a Risk‑Taker or a Gambler?
BITSAT’s marking scheme is more than a grading rubric; it’s a test of your decision‑making. The +3/−1 formula rewards knowledge but also offers opportunities to gain marks through smart guessing. Seeing the −1 as the cost of participation, not a punishment, frees you from the fear of losses.
Understanding expected value helps you decide when a guess is in your favour and when skipping is sensible. The bonus questions can be a strategic boon or a trap depending on your speed and accuracy. Finally, the three‑tier system gives you a clear framework for navigating the paper under time pressure.When I adopted these ideas my scores improved not because I studied harder but because I made better decisions. I analysed my mock tests, counted how many “probables” I left untouched, and saw where I rushed through “sure shots.” You can do the same. Use BITSAT’s marking scheme as a tool rather than a threat. Play the game on your terms, and you’ll find that those minus ones aren’t as scary as they seem.